Research productivity, secular stagnation, and growth

Recent papers have documented a reduction in research productivit over time. We estimate the relationship between research productivity and economic growth using a panel of OECD economies between 1981 and 2019. For countries in the G7, we find a strong correlation between these twoariables. The effect is both statistically significant and quantitatively relevant.

已有近期研究文献表明，科研生产力随时间呈现下降趋势。本研究基于1981至2019年的经合组织（OECD）经济体面板数据，估算科研生产力与经济增长之间的关联关系。针对七国集团（G7）成员国，我们发现二者间存在显著的相关关系，且该关联兼具统计学显著性与实际经济意义上的量化相关性。