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Confidence Indicators and Their Relationship to Changes in Economic Activity

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Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development2026-04-11 收录
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https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/confidence-indicators-and-their-relationship-to-changes-in-economic-activity_537052766455.html
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This paper examines the usefulness of consumer and business surveys in assessing the cyclical position of the economy and for forecasting output movements. To that effect, after a brief review of the nature of sentiment measures, the empirical relationship between confidence indicators and output components is explored. Graphical examination,...
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