The descriptive statistics in 2010.

Vietnam has achieved significant economic growth, poverty reduction, and social transformation since its 1986 major economic reform. However, industrialization, a key pillar supporting this achievement, has resulted in massive domestic migration from certain parts of the country into industrialized provinces mainly located in the south of Vietnam, leading to various challenges for society. This study investigates the effects of the characteristics of Vietnamese households and their heads, environmental factors, and living conditions of the households in the regions where they have decided to leave behind for a migration decision on domestic migration. Our study also compares the migration trends in the past decade using the Vietnamese Household Living Standard Surveys (VHLSS) in 2010 and 2020, together with a logit model. We find that the average probability that a household and their members migrate is about 10 per cent in 2010, reduced to approximately 6.8 per cent in 2020. Our empirical findings also confirm that a migration decision is strongly associated with the characteristics of the households and their heads, particularly for the household size and the educational level of the household head. The average radiation and rainfall are also associated with a migration decision. Weather temperature, water sources, and electricity supply also play an essential role in Vietnamese households’ migration decisions. Policy implications have emerged based on these empirical findings that the Vietnamese government should consider.自1986年推行重大经济改革以来，越南实现了显著的经济增长、减贫成效与社会转型。然而，作为支撑这一发展成果的核心支柱之一的工业化进程，引发了该国部分地区的大规模国内人口迁移：移民从原居住地涌入主要位于越南南部的工业化省份，给当地社会带来了诸多挑战。本研究探讨了越南家庭及其户主特征、迁出地环境因素与家庭生活条件对国内迁移决策的影响。本研究还结合logit模型，利用2010年与2020年的越南家庭生活水平调查（Vietnamese Household Living Standard Surveys, VHLSS）数据，对比了过去十年的人口迁移趋势。研究发现，2010年家庭及其成员的平均迁移概率约为10%，到2020年降至约6.8%。实证结果还证实，迁移决策与家庭及其户主的特征密切相关，其中尤以家庭规模与户主受教育水平最为显著。平均辐射量与降雨量同样与迁移决策存在关联；气温、水源与电力供应也对越南家庭的迁移决策起到重要影响。基于上述实证发现，本研究提出了越南政府可参考的政策启示。