Role of vehicle technology on use: Joint analysis of the choice of plug-in electric vehicle ownership and miles traveled
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The increasing diversity of vehicle type holdings and growing demand for BEVs and PHEVs have serious policy implications for travel demand and air pollution. Consequently, it is important to accurately predict or estimate the preference for vehicle holdings of households as well as the vehicle miles traveled by vehicle body and fuel type to project future VMT changes and mobile source emission levels. The current report presents the application of a utility-based model for multiple discreteness that combines multiple vehicle types with usage in an integrated model, specifically the MDCEV model. We use the 2019 California Vehicle Survey data here that allows us to analyze the driving behavior associated with more recent EV models (with potentially longer ranges). Important findings from the model include:
