Dataset CO2 Emission per Capita Forecast 2020-2100

The dataset includes Business As Usual (BAU) forecast of the world's global CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) for 2020-2100. The CO2 emission forecast is from the publication “Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors” [3]. According to this publication, the CO2 emissions without international transport will change from 33,803 MtCO2/y in 2020 to 70,191 MtCO2/y in 2100, a 108% increase. The population forecast applies a parabolic trendline of the last 30 years. According to this calculation, the world population will change from 7,795 million in 2020 to 15,206 million in 2100, a 95% increase. CO2 emissions per capita (CpC) are calculated by dividing the CO2 emissions per year by the population in the same year. The world CpC was 4.3366 tCO2/y,cap in 2020. The CpC forecast for 2100 is 4.6160 tCO2/y,cap, 6.4% increase.

本数据集包含2020年至2100年全球人均二氧化碳（CO₂）排放量的常规业务（Business As Usual，BAU）预测。该二氧化碳排放预测来自文献《Dataset Global Warming Forecast using Acceleration Factors》[3]。根据该文献，不含国际运输环节的二氧化碳排放量将从2020年的33803 MtCO₂/年增长至2100年的70191 MtCO₂/年，增幅达108%。人口预测基于过去30年的抛物线趋势线推演，据此计算，全球总人口将从2020年的77.95亿增长至2100年的152.06亿，增幅为95%。人均二氧化碳排放量（CO2 emissions per capita, CpC）通过将年度二氧化碳排放量除以同年人口总数计算得到。2020年全球人均二氧化碳排放量为4.3366 tCO₂/(年·人)，2100年的人均排放量预测值为4.6160 tCO₂/(年·人)，增幅为6.4%。