Replication data for "Migration Opportunities and Human Capital Investments "
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https://zenodo.org/doi/10.5281/zenodo.18783785
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We examine how shocks to migration opportunities affect schooling outcomes in origin communities. We focus on the migration between Mexico and the United States, and exploit the expansion of the Secure Communities program in the US---a federal data-sharing program that substantially increased the risk of deportation for illegal migrants---as exogenous shock to the attractiveness of illegal migration.Our results suggest that the Secure Communities program increased attendance, enrollment, and educational attainment in municipalities that had stronger migration-network links with counties in the US that adopted the program early-on relative to municipalities that had ties with US counties that introduced the policy somewhat later. These results are consistent with the interpretation that the Secure Communities program raised the returns to education for prospective migrants by making low-skill migration to the US less attractive.
本研究旨在探究移民机会冲击对移民来源社区教育成果的影响。本研究聚焦美墨跨国移民流动,并以美国《安全社区计划(Secure Communities)》的扩张作为外生冲击;该计划作为联邦数据共享项目,大幅提升了非法移民面临的驱逐风险,进而削弱了非法移民的吸引力。研究结果表明,相较于与较晚推行该政策的美国郡存在移民网络关联的自治市,与较早推行该计划的美国郡拥有更紧密移民网络联系的自治市,其居民的到校率、入学注册率与受教育水平均有所提升。上述结果与以下解释相符:《安全社区计划》降低了低技能劳工赴美移民的吸引力,从而提升了潜在移民的教育投资回报率。
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2026-03-04



