Spatial autocorrelation.
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Promoting the integrated development of rural industries represents a crucial pathway for accelerating the modernization of the entire industrial chain and consolidating and enhancing agricultural resilience. This study constructs provincial-level panel data for China spanning 2012–2022 and employs a multidimensional, visualization-based, and spatial research paradigm to comprehensively examine the impact effects and mechanisms through which rural industrial integration empowers agricultural resilience in China. The findings reveal that, first, rural industrial integration can effectively enhance agricultural resilience levels, with stable economic returns and diversified functional development serving as key pathways for improving agricultural resilience. Second, the eastern and western regions have unleashed agricultural resilience potential through superior policy and environmental advantages, while the relatively homogeneous grain structure and path dependence in the central and northeastern regions have prevented agricultural industrial integration from effectively achieving expected outcomes. Third, structural rationalization has improved resource allocation efficiency, but industrial structure advancement and industrial structure sophistication have actually diminished the enhancement effects on agricultural resilience. Fourth, urbanization has led to adverse resource competition, reducing the positive impact of rural industrial integration on agricultural resilience levels. Fifth, the enhancement of agricultural resilience through rural industrial integration demonstrates geographically-distant resource spillover effects to neighboring regions. This research provides an important theoretical framework and practical paradigm for global agricultural transformation, offering particularly significant strategic guidance for developing countries in building resilient agricultural systems, addressing climate change impacts, and ensuring food security.
推动农村产业融合发展,是加快全产业链现代化、巩固并提升农业韧性的关键路径。本研究构建了2012-2022年中国省级面板数据,采用多维、可视化与空间研究范式,全面考察农村产业融合对中国农业韧性的影响效应与作用机制。研究结果显示:其一,农村产业融合可有效提升农业韧性水平,稳定的经济收益与多元化功能发展是增强农业韧性的核心路径。其二,东部与西部地区凭借政策与环境优势,充分释放了农业韧性潜力;而中部与东北地区粮食结构相对单一、存在路径依赖,致使农村产业融合未能有效达成预期成效。其三,产业结构合理化提升了资源配置效率,但产业结构高级化与产业结构精细化反而削弱了对农业韧性的提升效应。其四,城镇化引发了不利的资源竞争,削弱了农村产业融合对农业韧性水平的正向影响。其五,农村产业融合对农业韧性的提升作用,对邻近地区呈现出跨地域的资源溢出效应。本研究为全球农业转型提供了重要的理论框架与实践范式,尤其为发展中国家构建韧性农业体系、应对气候变化影响、保障粮食安全提供了极具价值的战略指引。



