The parameters θ of our model.
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For simplicity, the average weight of bees w is fixed based on previously reported results. The remaining parameters are inferred from data within a prior range of admissible parameters (right column). The boundaries of the range of flat priors were chosen based on the cited references or on values smaller/larger than reasonably possible values (e.g., the maximum weight max(W) is chosen to be the maximum total weight of the hive at all times). In all cases reported below, the inferred parameters remained away from the boundaries, indicating that our choice of boundaries has no influence on our results.
为简化分析,蜜蜂的平均体重w依据已发表的研究结果固定为定值。其余参数则从先验允许参数范围(右栏)内的数据中推断得到。均匀先验范围的边界选取依据所引用的文献,或设置为超出合理取值区间的极值(例如,最大体重max(W)被设定为蜂群任意时刻的总重量最大值)。下文报告的所有案例中,推断得到的参数均未触及边界,表明本次研究所选取的边界不会对结果产生影响。



