Replication package for "When does development credit count as adaptation finance? Drought losses and climate-relevant credit in Brazil's semi-arid region"
收藏资源简介：
This replication package contains the data, documentation and code required to reproduce the empirical results, tables and figures reported in the manuscript “When does development credit count as adaptation finance? Drought losses and climate-relevant credit in Brazil’s semi-arid region”. The paper evaluates when domestic public development credit can be interpreted as adaptation finance rather than ordinary development finance. It uses Brazil’s Northeast Constitutional Financing Fund (FNE), municipal credit records, rainfall shocks, agricultural outcomes and a policy-based credit taxonomy to test whether climate-relevant credit attenuates agricultural downside risk under drought. The package includes a municipality-year analytical dataset, municipal boundary files, a professional data dictionary, source notes, variable-construction documentation and a single replication script. Running the replication script reproduces the paper’s policy taxonomy tables, climate-targeting diagnostics, damage-function estimates, timing falsifications, appendix robustness tables and figures. The central empirical design estimates whether accumulated exposure to direct climate-relevant credit reduces the probability of severe agricultural collapse when unexpected drought shocks occur. The package also reproduces comparisons with non-climate credit and PRONAF/rural credit, as well as drought-innovation diagnostics and future-timing falsification tests. Files included data/fne_climate_credit_master.csv: final municipality-year analytical dataset documentation/data_dictionary.csv: complete variable dictionary documentation/KEY_VARIABLES.md: short guide to the main variables documentation/source_notes.md: data-source documentation documentation/variable_construction.md: variable-construction notes documentation/AUDIT_REPORT.md: final package audit code/00_replicate_all.py: single replication script outputs_generated/: tables and figures generated by the replication script
本复制包包含复现该研究手稿中汇报的实证结果、表格与图件所需的数据、文档与代码，该手稿题为《发展信贷何时可被认定为适应融资（adaptation finance）？巴西半干旱地区的干旱损失与气候相关信贷》。 本研究旨在厘清国内公共发展信贷（domestic public development credit）何时可被认定为适应融资而非普通发展信贷。研究采用巴西东北部宪法融资基金（FNE）的相关数据、市域信贷记录、降雨冲击（rainfall shocks）、农业产出结果以及基于政策的信贷分类体系，检验气候相关信贷（climate-relevant credit）是否能够缓解干旱情境下的农业下行风险（agricultural downside risk）。 本复制包包含市-年度分析数据集（municipality-year analytical dataset）、市域边界文件（municipal boundary files）、专业数据字典（data dictionary）、数据源说明、变量构建文档以及单一复制脚本（replication script）。运行该复制脚本即可复现论文中的政策分类体系表格、气候靶向诊断（climate-targeting diagnostics）分析结果、损伤函数估计（damage-function estimates）结果、时间维度安慰剂检验结果、附录稳健性检验表格与图件。 本研究的核心实证设计旨在估计：当遭遇突发干旱冲击时，直接气候相关信贷的累计暴露量是否能够降低农业严重崩溃的发生概率。本复制包同时可复现非气候信贷与PRONAF/农村信贷的对比分析、干旱创新诊断分析以及未来时间安慰剂检验。 已包含文件： data/fne_climate_credit_master.csv：最终市-年度分析数据集 documentation/data_dictionary.csv：完整变量字典 documentation/KEY_VARIABLES.md：核心变量简要指南 documentation/source_notes.md：数据源说明文档 documentation/variable_construction.md：变量构建说明 documentation/AUDIT_REPORT.md：复制包最终审核报告 code/00_replicate_all.py：单一复制脚本 outputs_generated/：由复制脚本生成的表格与图件
