TABLE 2 in What Will the Future Bring for Biological Invasions on Islands? An Expert-Based Assessment

TABLE 2 | Proportional odds models analyzing if the 15 drivers of biological invasions addressed in the survey significantly increase alien species (A) introduction, (B) establishment, and (C) spread on islands in the 21st century. (A)IntroductionPredictorsOdds RatioCIpAwareness, Values and Lifestyle1.10.69–1.760.68Climate Change3.752.34–5.99<0.001Biodiversity Loss and degradation5.033.09–8.18<0.001Communication and outreach0.60.37–0.950.03Cooperation, legislation and agreements0.620.39–0.990.04Demography and migration13.618.31–22.27<0.001Eutrophication and Pollution1.550.98–2.450.06IAS management0.250.15–0.40<0.001IAS science0.230.14–0.37<0.001Land Use/Cover change6.694.16–10.77<0.001Ocean Acidification1.140.72–1.790.58Recreation and tourism7.554.74–12.03<0.001Socio-Economic change5.83.63–9.26<0.001Technology and Innovation0.830.53–1.320.43Trade and transport74.4837.85–146.58<0.001Threshold coefficients:Strongly disagree|Disagree0.120.08–0.17<0.001Disagree|Neutral0.550.39–0.780.001Neutral| Agree1.841.30–2.610.001Agree|Strongly agree8.415.86–12.07<0.001(B)EstablishmentPredictorsOdds RatioCIpAwareness, values and lifestyle1.050.65–1.680.84Climate change13.017.96–21.25<0.001Biodiversity loss and degradation29.6917.40–50.67<0.001Communication and outreach0.580.36–0.920.02Cooperation, legislation and agreements0.580.36–0.920.02Demography and migration10.246.28–16.69<0.001Eutrophication and pollution4.252.66–6.80<0.001IAS management0.230.14–0.38<0.001IAS science0.250.15–0.40<0.001Land Use/Cover change23.7714.18–39.87<0.001Ocean acidification2.111.33–3.350.002Recreation and tourism4.42.74–7.07<0.001Socio-Economic change6.213.87–9.99<0.001Technology and innovation0.730.46–1.170.19Trade and transport4.22.60–6.78<0.001Threshold coefficients:Strongly disagree|Disagree0.120.08–0.17<0.001Disagree|Neutral0.50.35–0.71<0.001Neutral| Agree1.821.27–2.590.001Agree|Strongly agree11.177.69–16.22<0.001(C)SpreadPredictorsOdds RatioCIpAwareness, Values and Lifestyle1.110.69–1.780.66Climate Change10.796.64–17.52<0.001Biodiversity Loss and Degradation22.913.51–38.80<0.001Communication and Outreach0.590.37–0.950.03Cooperation, Legislation and Agreements0.610.38–0.970.04Demography and Migration14.288.67–23.51<0.001Eutrophication and Pollution3.652.29–5.81<0.001IAS Management0.240.15–0.39<0.001IAS Science0.250.16–0.41<0.001Land Use/Cover Change15.549.46–25.54<0.001Ocean Acidification1.931.22–3.050.01Recreation and Tourism7.24.48–11.56<0.001Socio-Economic Change6.333.95–10.15<0.001Technology and Innovation0.720.45–1.150.17Trade and Transport13.978.46–23.08<0.001Threshold coefficients:Strongly disagree|Disagree0.120.09–0.18<0.001Disagree|Neutral0.50.35–0.71<0.001Neutral| Agree1.861.31–2.650.001Agree|Strongly agree9.786.77–14.14<0.001 (Continued)表2 | 探究本调查提及的15种生物入侵驱动因子在21世纪是否会显著提升岛屿外来物种（A）引入、（B）定殖及（C）扩散过程的比例优势模型（Proportional odds models）。 (A) 引入 |预测因子|优势比（Odds Ratio）|置信区间（Confidence Interval, CI）|P值| |--|--|--|--| |认知、价值观与生活方式|1.10|0.69–1.76|0.68| |气候变化|3.75|2.34–5.99|<0.001| |生物多样性丧失与退化|5.03|3.09–8.18|<0.001| |传播与科普推广|0.60|0.37–0.95|0.03| |合作、立法与协议|0.62|0.39–0.99|0.04| |人口统计与移民|13.61|8.31–22.27|<0.001| |富营养化与污染|1.55|0.98–2.45|0.06| |外来入侵物种（Invasive Alien Species, IAS）管理|0.25|0.15–0.40|<0.001| |外来入侵物种（Invasive Alien Species, IAS）研究|0.23|0.14–0.37|<0.001| |土地利用/覆被变化|6.69|4.16–10.77|<0.001| |海洋酸化|1.14|0.72–1.79|0.58| |休闲与旅游|7.55|4.74–12.03|<0.001| |社会经济变化|5.83|3.63–9.26|<0.001| |技术与创新|0.83|0.53–1.32|0.43| |贸易与运输|74.48|37.85–146.58|<0.001| ### 阈值系数 |态度区间|优势比|置信区间|P值| |--|--|--|--| |完全不同意|不同意|0.12|0.08–0.17|<0.001| |不同意|中立|0.55|0.39–0.78|0.001| |中立|同意|1.84|1.30–2.61|0.001| |同意|完全同意|8.41|5.86–12.07|<0.001| (B) 定殖 |预测因子|优势比（Odds Ratio）|置信区间（CI）|P值| |--|--|--|--| |认知、价值观与生活方式|1.05|0.65–1.68|0.84| |气候变化|13.01|7.96–21.25|<0.001| |生物多样性丧失与退化|29.69|17.40–50.67|<0.001| |传播与科普推广|0.58|0.36–0.92|0.02| |合作、立法与协议|0.58|0.36–0.92|0.02| |人口统计与移民|10.24|6.28–16.69|<0.001| |富营养化与污染|4.25|2.66–6.80|<0.001| |外来入侵物种（IAS）管理|0.23|0.14–0.38|<0.001| |外来入侵物种（IAS）研究|0.25|0.15–0.40|<0.001| |土地利用/覆被变化|23.77|14.18–39.87|<0.001| |海洋酸化|2.11|1.33–3.35|0.002| |休闲与旅游|4.40|2.74–7.07|<0.001| |社会经济变化|6.21|3.87–9.99|<0.001| |技术与创新|0.73|0.46–1.17|0.19| |贸易与运输|4.20|2.60–6.78|<0.001| ### 阈值系数 |态度区间|优势比|置信区间|P值| |--|--|--|--| |完全不同意|不同意|0.12|0.08–0.17|<0.001| |不同意|中立|0.50|0.35–0.71|<0.001| |中立|同意|1.82|1.27–2.59|0.001| |同意|完全同意|11.17|7.69–16.22|<0.001| (C) 扩散 |预测因子|优势比（Odds Ratio）|置信区间（CI）|P值| |--|--|--|--| |认知、价值观与生活方式|1.11|0.69–1.78|0.66| |气候变化|10.79|6.64–17.52|<0.001| |生物多样性丧失与退化|22.91|13.51–38.80|<0.001| |传播与科普推广|0.59|0.37–0.95|0.03| |合作、立法与协议|0.61|0.38–0.97|0.04| |人口统计与移民|14.28|8.67–23.51|<0.001| |富营养化与污染|3.65|2.29–5.81|<0.001| |外来入侵物种（IAS）管理|0.24|0.15–0.39|<0.001| |外来入侵物种（IAS）研究|0.25|0.16–0.41|<0.001| |土地利用/覆被变化|15.54|9.46–25.54|<0.001| |海洋酸化|1.93|1.22–3.05|0.01| |休闲与旅游|7.20|4.48–11.56|<0.001| |社会经济变化|6.33|3.95–10.15|<0.001| |技术与创新|0.72|0.45–1.15|0.17| |贸易与运输|13.97|8.46–23.08|<0.001| ### 阈值系数 |态度区间|优势比|置信区间|P值| |--|--|--|--| |完全不同意|不同意|0.12|0.09–0.18|<0.001| |不同意|中立|0.50|0.35–0.71|<0.001| |中立|同意|1.86|1.31–2.65|0.001| |同意|完全同意|9.78|6.77–14.14|<0.001| （续）