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Deflation Risk

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NBER2013-07-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We study the nature of deflation risk by extracting the objective distribution of inflation from the market prices of inflation swaps and options. We find that the market expects inflation to average about 2.5 percent over the next 30 years. Despite this, the market places substantial probability

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2013-07-01
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