Analisis daya dukung komoditas serealia terhadap ketahanan pangan Kabupaten Buleleng

The increase in population has an impact on the reduction in the area of ​​productive agricultural land due to land conversion for various needs. This causes a decrease in food production so that food availability is lower and unbalanced with the demand or needs of the population. It is essential to know the carrying capacity of land as an illustration of a region's ability to meet its population's basic needs. This study aims to analyze the occurrence of conversion of agricultural land and its impact on the carrying capacity of land on food security in Buleleng Regency. The research is qualitative and descriptive, utilizing secondary data on agricultural land area, harvested area, production value, and population in ten years (2012-2021). The results showed that the carrying capacity of food fields in Buleleng Regency was low because they could not be self-sufficient or were in a deficit condition. This is due to the rapid population increase and agricultural land conversion, especially paddy fields. The authors thank the reviewers and the IASSF team for supporting this research.

人口增长会因各类用地需求引发土地转用，进而导致生产性农用土地面积缩减。这会造成粮食产量下滑，使得粮食供给量不足且与人口需求失衡。明确土地承载力，以此衡量区域满足人口基本需求的能力，具有重要意义。本研究旨在分析布莱伦摄政县（Buleleng Regency）的农用土地转用现状，及其对粮食安全视角下土地承载力的影响。本研究采用定性描述性研究方法，使用2012-2021年十年间的农用土地面积、收获面积、产值及人口等二手数据。研究结果显示，布莱伦摄政县的粮食耕地承载力偏低，无法实现粮食自给自足，处于供给赤字状态。这一现象源于人口的快速增长与农用土地（尤其是水田）的转用行为。作者感谢审稿专家及IASSF团队对本研究的支持。