Posterior medians and 95% credibility bounds for parameter estimates from hierarchical Bayesian model depicting temporal trends in the number of Marbled Murrelets counted at radar stations in coastal British Columbia, 1996–2013.

Counts were based on the number of incoming Marbled Murrelets detected before dawn. Trends were based on radar surveys at 58 stations in 6 Conservation Regions (CC is Central Mainland Coast, EV is East Vancouver Island, WC is West and North Vancouver Island, HG is Haida Gwaii, NC is North Mainland Coast, and SC is South Mainland Coast). The day of year coefficient c was based on values with 182 subtracted from the Julian day to centre the values about the mid-year point. N = 943. Cases where 95% credibility interval does not overlap with zero are denoted in bold font.