Technical Summary of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - Input data for Box TS4, Figure 1 (v20220817)

Input Data for Box TS4 from Technical Summary of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Box TS4, Figure 1 shows global mean sea level change on different time scales and under different scenarios. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Arias, P.A., N. Bellouin, E. Coppola, R.G. Jones, G. Krinner, J. Marotzke, V. Naik, M.D. Palmer, G.-K. Plattner, J. Rogelj, M. Rojas, J. Sillmann, T. Storelvmo, P.W. Thorne, B. Trewin, K. Achuta Rao, B. Adhikary, R.P. Allan, K. Armour, G. Bala, R. Barimalala, S. Berger, J.G. Canadell, C. Cassou, A. Cherchi, W. Collins, W.D. Collins, S.L. Connors, S. Corti, F. Cruz, F.J. Dentener, C. Dereczynski, A. Di Luca, A. Diongue Niang, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Dosio, H. Douville, F. Engelbrecht, V. Eyring, E. Fischer, P. Forster, B. Fox-Kemper, J.S. Fuglestvedt, J.C. Fyfe, N.P. Gillett, L. Goldfarb, I. Gorodetskaya, J.M. Gutierrez, R. Hamdi, E. Hawkins, H.T. Hewitt, P. Hope, A.S. Islam, C. Jones, D.S. Kaufman, R.E. Kopp, Y. Kosaka, J. Kossin, S. Krakovska, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, T. Mauritsen, T.K. Maycock, M. Meinshausen, S.-K. Min, P.M.S. Monteiro, T. Ngo-Duc, F. Otto, I. Pinto, A. Pirani, K. Raghavan, R. Ranasinghe, A.C. Ruane, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallée, B.H. Samset, S. Sathyendranath, S.I. Seneviratne, A.A. Sörensson, S. Szopa, I. Takayabu, A.-M. Tréguier, B. van den Hurk, R. Vautard, K. von Schuckmann, S. Zaehle, X. Zhang, and K. Zickfeld, 2021: Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 33−144, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.002. When citing the SSP-based sea-level projections, please also include the following citation: Garner, G. G., T. Hermans, R. E. Kopp, A. B. A. Slangen, T. L. Edwards, A. Levermann, S. Nowikci, M. D. Palmer, C. Smith, B. Fox-Kemper, H. T. Hewitt, C. Xiao, G. Aðalgeirsdóttir, S. S. Drijfhout, T. L. Edwards, N. R. Golledge, M. Hemer, G. Krinner, A. Mix, D. Notz, S. Nowicki, I. S. Nurhati, L. Ruiz, J-B. Sallée, Y. Yu, L. Hua, T. Palmer, B. Pearson, 2021. IPCC AR6 Global Mean Sea-Level Rise Projections. Version 20210809. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5914710. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has three panels. Panel a shows global mean sea level (GMSL) change from 1900 to 2150, observed (1900–2018) and projected under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios (2000–2150). Panel b shows GMSL change on 100-, 2,000-, and 10,000-year time scales as a function of global surface temperature. Panel c shows timing of exceedance of different GMSL thresholds under different SSPs. Input data is only available for panel a and c. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains: Global mean sea level change time-series from 1901-2150 for: - Observed global mean sea level change (1901-2018). - Projected global mean sea level change (2005-2150). --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to Box TS4, Figure 1: SSP-based global mean sea level projections are archived as Garner, G. G., Hermans, T., Kopp, R. E., Slangen, A. B. A., Edwards, T. L., Levermann, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M. D., Smith, C., Fox-Kemper, B., Hewitt, H. T., Xiao, C., Aðalgeirsdóttir, G., Drijfhout, S. S., Edwards, T. L., Golledge, N. R., Hemer, M., Krinner, G., Mix, A., … Pearson, B. (2021). IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections (Version 20210809) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5914710 Panel a: Consensus observational GMSL curve: gmsl_altimeter+TG_ensemble_28012021.mat This file is not provided but a link to the Chapter 9 GitHub repository which contains this file is provided. SSP-based GMSL projections through 2100, medium confidence: - pbox1e_total_ssp119_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1e_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1e_total_ssp245_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1e_total_ssp370_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1e_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc SSP-based GMSL projections after 2100, medium confidence: - pbox1f_total_ssp119_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1f_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1f_total_ssp245_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1f_total_ssp370_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox1f_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc SSP-based GMSL projections through 2100, low confidence: - pbox2e_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox2e_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc SSP-based GMSL projections after 2100, low confidence: - pbox2f_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox2f_total_ssp245_globalsl_figuredata.nc - pbox2f_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc Panel c: Threshold exceedance timing under different SSPs, medium confidence, with parametric emulator for Antarctic ice sheet: - wf_1f_ssp119_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_1f_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_1f_ssp245_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_1f_ssp370_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_1f_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc Threshold exceedance timing under different SSPs, medium confidence, with LARMIP-2 emulator for Antarctic ice sheet: - wf_2f_ssp119_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_2f_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_2f_ssp245_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_2f_ssp370_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_2f_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc Threshold exceedance timing under different SSPs, low confidence, with DeConto et al. 2021-based Antarctic ice sheet projections incorporating Marine Ice Cliff Instability: - wf_3f_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_3f_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc Threshold exceedance timing under different SSPs, low confidence, with Bamber et al. 2019-based structured expert judgement ice sheet projections: - wf_4_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc - wf_4_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc See sections 9.6.3.2 and 9.6.3.3 for detailed information on the SSP-based global mean sea level projections and their production. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Panel a data were plotted using standard matplotlib software and a Linux shell script, - code is available via the link in the documentation. The code requires the input data provided here and the additional gmsl_altimeter+TG_ensemble_28012021.mat file from Figure 9.27. The link to this file from the Chapter 9 GitHub is provided. Panel c data were plotted using standard open-source R software - code is available via the link in the documentation. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website - Link to the report component containing the figure (Technical Summary) - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo. - Link to the sea-level projections associated with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report, archived on Zenodo. - Link to figure data in matlab format on github

本数据集为政府间气候变化专门委员会（Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC）第六次评估报告（Sixth Assessment Report, AR6）第一工作组（Working Group I, WGI）技术摘要中Box TS4的输入数据。图1所示的Box TS4展示了不同时间尺度、不同情景下的全球平均海平面变化。
--------------------------------------------------- 本数据集引用规范 ---------------------------------------------------
在引用本数据集时，请同时包含下方的「可引用标识」项下的数据引用，以及该图表所属报告章节的如下引用：
Arias, P.A., N. Bellouin, E. Coppola, R.G. Jones, G. Krinner, J. Marotzke, V. Naik, M.D. Palmer, G.-K. Plattner, J. Rogelj, M. Rojas, J. Sillmann, T. Storelvmo, P.W. Thorne, B. Trewin, K. Achuta Rao, B. Adhikary, R.P. Allan, K. Armour, G. Bala, R. Barimalala, S. Berger, J.G. Canadell, C. Cassou, A. Cherchi, W. Collins, W.D. Collins, S.L. Connors, S. Corti, F. Cruz, F.J. Dentener, C. Dereczynski, A. Di Luca, A. Diongue Niang, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Dosio, H. Douville, F. Engelbrecht, V. Eyring, E. Fischer, P. Forster, B. Fox-Kemper, J.S. Fuglestvedt, J.C. Fyfe, N.P. Gillett, L. Goldfarb, I. Gorodetskaya, J.M. Gutierrez, R. Hamdi, E. Hawkins, H.T. Hewitt, P. Hope, A.S. Islam, C. Jones, D.S. Kaufman, R.E. Kopp, Y. Kosaka, J. Kossin, S. Krakovska, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, T. Mauritsen, T.K. Maycock, M. Meinshausen, S.-K. Min, P.M.S. Monteiro, T. Ngo-Duc, F. Otto, I. Pinto, A. Pirani, K. Raghavan, R. Ranasinghe, A.C. Ruane, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallée, B.H. Samset, S. Sathyendranath, S.I. Seneviratne, A.A. Sörensson, S. Szopa, I. Takayabu, A.-M. Tréguier, B. van den Hurk, R. Vautard, K. von Schuckmann, S. Zaehle, X. Zhang, and K. Zickfeld, 2021: Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 33−144, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.002.
若引用基于共享社会经济路径（Shared Socioeconomic Pathway, SSP）的海平面投影数据，请额外补充如下引用：
Garner, G. G., T. Hermans, R. E. Kopp, A. B. A. Slangen, T. L. Edwards, A. Levermann, S. Nowikci, M. D. Palmer, C. Smith, B. Fox-Kemper, H. T. Hewitt, C. Xiao, G. Aðalgeirsdóttir, S. S. Drijfhout, T. L. Edwards, N. R. Golledge, M. Hemer, G. Krinner, A. Mix, D. Notz, S. Nowicki, I. S. Nurhati, L. Ruiz, J-B. Sallée, Y. Yu, L. Hua, T. Palmer, B. Pearson, 2021. IPCC AR6 Global Mean Sea-Level Rise Projections. Version 20210809. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5914710.
--------------------------------------------------- 图子面板说明 ---------------------------------------------------
本图表包含三个子面板：
子面板a展示了1900年至2150年的全球平均海平面（Global Mean Sea Level, GMSL）变化：其中1900–2018年为观测数据，2000–2150年为共享社会经济路径（SSP）情景下的投影数据。
子面板b展示了以全球地表温度为自变量的100年、2000年及10000年时间尺度下的GMSL变化。
子面板c展示了不同SSP情景下，不同GMSL阈值被突破的时间节点。本数据集仅提供子面板a与子面板c的输入数据。
--------------------------------------------------- 数据集包含内容 ---------------------------------------------------
本数据集包含如下1901–2150年的全球平均海平面变化时序数据：
- 观测全球平均海平面变化（1901–2018年）
- 投影全球平均海平面变化（2005–2150年）
--------------------------------------------------- 与Box TS4图1相关的提供数据 ---------------------------------------------------
基于SSP的全球平均海平面投影数据已归档为：Garner, G. G., Hermans, T., Kopp, R. E., Slangen, A. B. A., Edwards, T. L., Levermann, A., Nowicki, S., Palmer, M. D., Smith, C., Fox-Kemper, B., Hewitt, H. T., Xiao, C., Aðalgeirsdóttir, G., Drijfhout, S. S., Edwards, T. L., Golledge, N. R., Hemer, M., Krinner, G., Mix, A., … Pearson, B. (2021). IPCC AR6 Sea Level Projections (Version 20210809) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5914710

子面板a：
共识观测GMSL曲线：`gmsl_altimeter+TG_ensemble_28012021.mat`。该文件未随本数据集提供，但已提供包含该文件的第9章GitHub仓库链接。
中等置信度的2100年及之前的SSP-GMSL投影数据：
- pbox1e_total_ssp119_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1e_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1e_total_ssp245_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1e_total_ssp370_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1e_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc
中等置信度的2100年之后的SSP-GMSL投影数据：
- pbox1f_total_ssp119_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1f_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1f_total_ssp245_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1f_total_ssp370_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox1f_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc
低置信度的2100年及之前的SSP-GMSL投影数据：
- pbox2e_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox2e_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc
低置信度的2100年之后的SSP-GMSL投影数据：
- pbox2f_total_ssp126_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox2f_total_ssp245_globalsl_figuredata.nc
- pbox2f_total_ssp585_globalsl_figuredata.nc

子面板c：
中等置信度、采用南极冰盖参数化模拟器的不同SSP情景下GMSL阈值突破时间数据：
- wf_1f_ssp119_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_1f_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_1f_ssp245_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_1f_ssp370_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_1f_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc
中等置信度、采用LARMIP-2南极冰盖模拟器的不同SSP情景下GMSL阈值突破时间数据：
- wf_2f_ssp119_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_2f_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_2f_ssp245_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_2f_ssp370_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_2f_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc
低置信度、采用结合海洋冰崖不稳定性（Marine Ice Cliff Instability）的DeConto等2021年南极冰盖投影的不同SSP情景下GMSL阈值突破时间数据：
- wf_3f_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_3f_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc
低置信度、采用Bamber等2019年结构化专家判断冰盖投影的不同SSP情景下GMSL阈值突破时间数据：
- wf_4_ssp126_milestone_figuredata.nc
- wf_4_ssp585_milestone_figuredata.nc

如需了解基于SSP的全球平均海平面投影数据及其生成流程的详细信息，请参阅第9.6.3.2和9.6.3.3节。
--------------------------------------------------- 基于提供数据复现图表的注意事项 ---------------------------------------------------
子面板a的数据通过标准matplotlib软件与Linux shell脚本绘制：相关代码可通过文档中的链接获取，该代码依赖本数据集提供的输入数据，以及图9.27中的额外文件`gmsl_altimeter+TG_ensemble_28012021.mat`，该文件的第9章GitHub仓库链接已提供。
子面板c的数据通过标准开源R软件绘制：相关代码可通过文档中的链接获取。
--------------------------------------------------- 附加信息来源 ---------------------------------------------------
本目录记录的「相关文档」部分提供了以下网页链接：
- IPCC AR6官网中的该图表链接
- 包含该图表的报告章节（技术摘要）链接
- 存档于Zenodo的该图表代码链接
- 存档于Zenodo的与IPCC第六次评估报告相关的海平面投影数据链接
- GitHub上的MATLAB格式图表数据链接