Replication data for: Ordinary Economic Voting Behavior in the Extraordinary Election of Adolf Hitler

The enormous Nazi voting literature rarely builds on modern statistical or economic research. By adding these approaches, we find that the most widely accepted existing theories of this era cannot distinguish the Weimar elections from almost any others in any country. Via a retrospective voting account, we show that voters most hurt by the depression, and most likely to oppose the government, fall into separate groups with divergent interests. This explains why some turned to the Nazis and others turned away. The consequences of Hitler's election were extraordinary, but the voting behavior that led to it was not.
<br /><br /> See also: <a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/category/research-interests/applications/presidency-research-voting-behavior" target= "_new">Presidency Research; Voting Behavior </a>

海量纳粹竞选相关文献极少依托现代统计学与经济学研究范式。通过引入此类研究方法，我们发现当前学界针对该时期最广为接受的既有理论，无法将魏玛共和国时期的选举与全球任意国家的几乎所有其他选举样本相区分。借助回顾性投票（retrospective voting）分析视角，我们的研究表明：受大萧条冲击最为严重、且最倾向于反对现任政府的选民，实则分属利益取向截然不同的两个群体。这一结论解释了为何部分选民转而支持纳粹党，而另一部分选民则并未倒向纳粹。希特勒当选所引发的后果堪称异乎寻常，但催生这一结果的选民投票行为本身却并无特殊之处。<br /><br />另可参阅：<a href="http://gking.harvard.edu/category/research-interests/applications/presidency-research-voting-behavior" target="_new">总统制研究；投票行为</a>