Econometrics case study: Analysis of factors influencing the poverty rate in the Special Region of Yogyakarta Province

Background: This research is an econometrics case study aimed at addressing two research questions. Firstly, to provide an overview of the Special Region of Yogyakarta Province. Secondly, to identify the factors influencing the poverty rate in the province. The study utilizes the concepts of poverty, provincial minimum wage, Human Development Index (HDI), economic growth, and unemployment rate. Method: Methodologically, the province is chosen as the research location due to its poverty rate that requires attention and its distinctive social, economic, and geographical characteristics. The data used are secondary data, analyzed using multiple linear regression and normality tests. Findings: The findings of this study are as follows. Firstly, the Special Region of Yogyakarta Province is situated between 7°33' LS - 8°12' LS and 110°00' BT - 110°50' BT, with a land area of 3,185.8 km2. The province comprises 4 regencies and 1 municipality. Secondly, the factors influencing the poverty rate in the Special Region of Yogyakarta Province are the Human Development Index (HDI) and the unemployment rate. Conclusion: The conclusion is that the poverty rate in the Special Region of Yogyakarta Province is influenced by the Human Development Index (HDI) and the unemployment rate. The recommendations that can be given are to increase the HDI and reduce the unemployment rate through various government initiatives such as improving education, creating jobs, and encouraging economic activities. Novelty/Originality of this article: This study identifies factors that influence poverty levels using multiple linear regression. The results show that the Human Development Index (HDI) and poverty rates significantly influence poverty rates in this province.

研究背景：本研究为一项计量经济学案例研究，旨在回应两项研究议题：其一，对日惹特区（Special Region of Yogyakarta）进行概况梳理；其二，识别该特区贫困率的影响因素。本研究涵盖贫困、省级最低工资、人类发展指数（Human Development Index，HDI）、经济增长及失业率等核心概念。
研究方法：本研究选取日惹特区作为研究区域，缘由在于其贫困现状亟需关注，且具备鲜明的社会、经济与地理特征。本研究采用二手数据，运用多元线性回归与正态性检验展开分析。
研究发现：本研究的主要发现如下。其一，日惹特区地处南纬7°33′至8°12′、东经110°00′至110°50′之间，土地面积达3185.8平方千米，下辖4个县与1个市。其二，影响日惹特区贫困率的因素为人类发展指数（HDI）与失业率。
研究结论：本研究结论显示，日惹特区的贫困率受人类发展指数（HDI）与失业率的影响。据此可提出如下政策建议：通过完善教育体系、创造就业岗位、激活经济活动等多项政府举措，提升人类发展指数并降低失业率。
本文的创新性与原创性：本研究运用多元线性回归方法识别贫困水平的影响因素。研究结果表明，人类发展指数（HDI）与贫困率对该特区的贫困率具有显著影响。