Trade Damage Estimation for the 2019 Market Facilitation Program and Food Purchase and Distribution Program

Executive Summary: This paper outlines the methodology USDA employed to estimate the level of gross trade damage caused by retaliatory tariffs to U.S. agricultural exports by commodity. Those estimates were used to determine the 2019 Market Facilitation Program (MFP) payment rates and the value of commodities to be targeted for purchase under the 2019 Food Purchase and Distribution Program (FPDP). The paper also outlines the formulas employed to calculate MFP county rates for non-specialty crops, as well as national MFP rates for specialty crops, hogs, and milk. USDA announced details on those programs on July 25, 2019. For more details about the trade mitigation programs, visit https://www.farmers.gov/manage/mfp. Rulemaking and related documents, including the Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA), for trade mitigation programs can be found at https://www.regulations.gov/docket?D=CCC-2019-0003.

执行摘要：本文阐述了美国农业部（United States Department of Agriculture, USDA）用以估算报复性关税对美国农产品出口造成的按商品类别划分的总体贸易损害程度的方法。相关估算结果被用于确定2019年市场促进计划（Market Facilitation Program, MFP）的补贴费率，以及2019年食品采购与分销计划（Food Purchase and Distribution Program, FPDP）下拟纳入采购范围的商品价值。本文还详细说明了用于计算非特色作物县级MFP补贴费率，以及特色作物、生猪与牛奶全国性MFP补贴费率的计算公式。美国农业部于2019年7月25日公布了上述计划的相关细节。如需了解贸易纾困计划的更多详情，请访问https://www.farmers.gov/manage/mfp。贸易纾困计划的规则制定文件及相关材料（包括成本效益分析（Cost Benefit Analysis, CBA)）可在https://www.regulations.gov/docket?D=CCC-2019-0003查询。