A first attempt at modelling roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) distributions over Europe
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The presence of roe deer can be an important component within ecological and epidemiological systems contributing to the risk and spread of a range of vector-borne diseases. Deer are important hosts for many vectors, and may therefore serve as a focal point or attractant for vectors or may themselves act as a reservoir for vector-borne disease. Three spatial modelling techniques were used to generate an ensemble model describing the proportion of suitable roe deer habitat within recorded distributions for Europe as identified from diverse sources. The resulting model is therefore an index of presence, which may be useful in supporting the modelling of vector-borne disease across Europe.
狍(roe deer)的存在是生态与流行病学系统中的重要组成部分,可对多种虫媒传播疾病(vector-borne diseases)的流行风险与扩散范围产生影响。鹿类是多种传播媒介(vector)的重要宿主,因此既可成为媒介的聚集点或引诱源,自身也可作为虫媒传播疾病的储存宿主。本研究采用三种空间建模技术(spatial modelling techniques)构建集成模型(ensemble model),用以描述通过多源数据识别得到的欧洲地区已记录的狍分布范围内的适宜狍生境占比。最终生成的模型为狍存在指数,可用于辅助欧洲范围内虫媒传播疾病的相关建模工作。



