Replication Data for: Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reforms Have Become More Fragile

Since the mid 2010s, many governments have pledged to reduce their subsidies for fossil fuels. Yet it is unclear whether these reforms have been implemented, with prior studies showing conflicting results. We collect original monthly data on the 21 countries with the largest gasoline subsidies in the 2003-2015 period and evaluate their reform efforts from 2016 to 2023. Since 2016 there has been an increase in the frequency and ambition of subsidy reforms but a drop in their durability: just 30 percent of the reforms survived for 12 months, and only 9 percent survived for 36 months. Subsidies rose for 12 countries in our sample and were virtually unchanged in the other 9. This pattern calls into question the effectiveness of recent strategies for reducing fossil fuel subsidies.

自2010年代中期以来，多国政府已承诺削减化石燃料补贴。然而目前尚不清楚这些改革是否得到落实，既往研究结论亦存在分歧。本研究收集了2003-2015年间汽油补贴规模最大的21个国家的原始月度数据，并对其2016至2023年的改革举措进行评估。自2016年起，补贴改革的实施频率与力度均有所提升，但改革持续性却出现下滑：仅30%的改革举措可维持12个月，仅9%能持续36个月。样本内有12个国家的补贴规模出现上升，其余9国补贴则基本维持不变。这一现象使得当前化石燃料补贴削减策略的有效性受到质疑。