"Ensemble Prediction of a Halo Coronal Mass Ejection Using Heliospheric Imagers" - model results and supplementary data

These files contain results from the study "Ensemble Prediction of a Halo Coronal Mass Ejection Using Heliospheric Imagers" by T. Amerstorfer et al. submitted to AGU Space Weather.<br>The file ElEvoHI_results.txt contains the resulting parameters of 339 model runs to predict the arrival time and speed of a coronal mass ejection at 0.4 and 1 AU.<br>The file mass_measurements.txt lists the CME mass derived from LASCO C2 and C3 images.<br>The file stereo-bHIelongation.txt contains the CME elongation measurements from STEREO-B heliospheric imager observations.<br>The file ElEvoHI_ensemble.mp4 is an animated visualization of the ensemble run. The black curves correspond to the CME shapes leading to the best prediction at MESSENGER and STEREO-B, respectively. The dark gray area is the entity of all other runs from the ensemble. The solid blue line marks the HI elongation measurements used for prediction. When the line is dashed, the HI observations are no longer used for prediction but can be seen as a proof of the modeled CME evolution.<br>

本数据集包含T. Amerstorfer等人提交至美国地球物理联盟（AGU）旗下《Space Weather》期刊的研究《利用日球层成像仪（Heliospheric Imagers）开展晕状日冕物质抛射（Coronal Mass Ejection）的集成预测》的相关实验结果。
文件ElEvoHI_results.txt收录了339次模型推演所得的参数集，用于预测日冕物质抛射在0.4 AU与1 AU处的到达时间及运动速度。
文件mass_measurements.txt列出了从LASCO C2与C3日冕仪图像中推导得到的日冕物质抛射质量数据。
文件stereo-bHIelongation.txt收录了基于STEREO-B日球层成像仪观测得到的日冕物质抛射张角测量结果。
文件ElEvoHI_ensemble.mp4为集成推演过程的动态可视化成果。其中黑色曲线分别对应信使号（MESSENGER）与STEREO-B观测场景下取得最优预测效果的日冕物质抛射形态；深灰色区域代表集成推演中其余所有模型推演的结果集合；蓝色实线标注了用于预测的日球层成像仪张角测量数据，当线条变为虚线时，代表日球层成像仪观测数据不再用于预测，但可作为验证所建模日冕物质抛射演化过程的参考依据。