The factors affecting Vietnam’s canned tuna exports

In this study, we used the gravity model to identify factors affecting Vietnam’s tuna exports to major import markets, including the United States, Canada, Japan and European countries, and then to find the solutions with sufficient scientific and practical basis to promote the development of the tuna export industry in the future. This research’results show that an increase in factors including domestic tuna production, exchange rates, population of the importing country and geographical distance leads to increase the scale of Vietnam’ tuna exports, with the exchange rate playing the most important role, while the import tax rate is the significant barrier that reduces Vietnam’s tuna exports. In order to develop the tuna export sustainably in the future, Vietnam must maintain tight control over the domestic tuna resources, avoid overexploitation, and instead focus on enhancing product quality. Furthermore, it is critical to focus on satisfying the conditions of commitments in signed free trade agreements, actively analyzing the market and paying attention to trade promotion policies, growing trade connections with importing countries.

本研究借助引力模型，识别影响越南对美国、加拿大、日本及欧洲各国等主要进口市场的金枪鱼出口的相关因素，并据此寻求具备充分科学与实践依据的解决方案，以推动未来金枪鱼出口产业的发展。本研究结果显示，越南国内金枪鱼产量、汇率、进口国人口及地理距离等因素的提升，均会扩大越南金枪鱼出口规模，其中汇率的影响最为显著；而进口税率则是抑制越南金枪鱼出口的重要阻碍因素。为实现金枪鱼出口产业的可持续发展，越南需严格管控国内金枪鱼资源，避免过度开发，转而着力提升产品品质。此外，切实落实已签署自由贸易协定中的承诺条款、积极开展市场调研、关注贸易促进政策，以及深化与进口国的贸易联系，均为至关重要的举措。