Implementation Model of e-Socialization of Natural Disaster Mitigation in Rural Areas

Climate change and global warming are currently affecting the entire Indonesian archipelago, so the threat of disasters will always occur, both on a small and large scale. This shows Indonesia's vulnerability to disasters such as earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, floods, droughts, landslides, and other geological disasters. Government efforts to socialize these issues to the public have been carried out, but they need to be accelerated so that the public can immediately understand and carry out mitigation and adaptation, including communities in rural areas. Through the implementation of a Knowledge Management System, which can be accessed from people's gadgets, independent socialization and dissemination of disaster mitigation socialization programs can be improved. The factor analysis method was used to process respondent data to identify key factors in system performance, and the regression analysis method was used to build a measurement model that can represent the current conditions of independent mitigation socialization results and also to develop future implementation strategies. The results of the study indicate that disaster knowledge management, strategic socialization, knowledge transfer paradigms, social empowerment, and community development must be considered to maximize this independent socialization and make it more effective.当前，气候变化与全球变暖正影响着整个印度尼西亚群岛，因此各类灾害威胁始终存在，涵盖小规模与大规模灾害。这凸显了印度尼西亚在地震、海啸、火山喷发、洪水、干旱、滑坡及其他地质灾害面前的脆弱性。印度尼西亚政府已开展针对公众的相关灾害问题科普宣传工作，但仍需加快推进进度，以便公众能够及时了解相关知识并开展减灾与适应行动，其中包括农村社区。通过部署可通过民众智能设备访问的知识管理系统（Knowledge Management System），能够提升独立式灾害减灾科普宣传与项目推广的成效。本研究采用因子分析法对受访者数据进行处理，以识别系统性能的关键影响因素；同时运用回归分析法构建可表征当前独立减灾科普宣传成效的测量模型，并据此制定未来的实施策略。研究结果表明，若要最大化提升该独立式科普宣传的效果并使其更具实效性，需重点考量灾害知识管理、战略性科普宣传、知识转移范式、社会赋权以及社区发展等维度。