<b>Dataset used for </b><b>Next-Generation Drought Forecasting: Hybrid AI Models for Climate Resilience</b>
收藏资源简介:
Droughts threaten ecological, agricultural, and socio-economic systems, particularly in climate-sensitive regions such as China's Inner Mongolia section of the Yellow River Watershed. This study presents a hybrid AI-based drought forecasting framework that integrates machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques with high-resolution climate projections to enhance predictive accuracy and climate resilience. The approach leverages observed data from the TerraClimate archive (1985–2014) and bias-corrected CMIP6 projections (2030–2050) under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, sourced from NASA's GDDP v2 dataset. A rigorous preprocessing pipeline—including quantile mapping bias correction and climate-informed feature engineering—was implemented to ensure robust model inputs. Several ML algorithms (RF, XGBoost, GBR, SVR) were benchmarked, and Random Forest was selected based on its predictive strength and interpretability.
干旱威胁着生态、农业与社会经济系统,在气候敏感区域尤为显著——例如中国黄河流域内蒙古段。本研究提出了一种基于人工智能的混合干旱预测框架,该框架融合机器学习 (Machine Learning,ML) 与深度学习 (Deep Learning,DL) 技术,并结合高分辨率气候预估数据,以提升预测精度与气候韧性。本研究采用了TerraClimate数据集档案(1985–2014年)的观测数据,以及源自美国国家航空航天局(NASA)GDDP v2数据集的、共享社会经济路径(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways,SSP)245与SSP585情景下经过偏差校正的耦合模式比较计划第六阶段(CMIP6)预估数据(2030–2050年)。同时,研究构建了一套严格的预处理流程,涵盖分位数映射偏差校正与融合气候先验知识的特征工程环节,以确保模型输入数据的鲁棒性。此外,研究对多种机器学习算法(RF、XGBoost、GBR、SVR)开展了基准对比测试,并基于预测性能与可解释性优势,最终选用了随机森林(Random Forest)算法。



