National and Subnational Estimates of the Covid 19 Reproduction Number (R) for Belgium Based on Test Results

Identifying changes in the reproduction number, rate of spread, and doubling time during the course of the COVID-19 outbreak whilst accounting for potential biases due to delays in case reporting both nationally and subnationally in Belgium. These results are impacted by changes in testing effort, increases and decreases in testing effort will increase and decrease reproduction number estimates respectively.

本研究旨在解析比利时全国及次国家级层面新冠疫情（COVID-19）流行期间，病毒再生数（reproduction number）、传播速率与倍增时间的动态变化，并校正由病例报告延迟所引发的潜在偏倚。本研究结果受检测力度变化的影响：检测力度提升或降低，会分别使再生数的估算值升高或降低。