DataSheet1_The driving mechanism and path selection of green development in Chinese cities.pdf

Green is the background color of high-quality development of Chinese cities. By constructing a theoretical model of the driving force and driving mechanism of China’s urban green development, this paper simulates the green development path of Chinese cities based on the panel data of Chinese cities from 2010 to 2020. The empirical results show that, firstly, the driven force formed by scientific and technological in novation, the action force formed by structural adjustment and the driven force formed by environmental regulation can drive Chinese cities to achieve green development. Secondly, the pressure of different paths on the ecological environment showed a gradual downward trend, the ecological environment pressure under the baseline scenario was the highest, and the ecological environment pressure driven by single factors may be lower than that driven by two factors. Finally, the comprehensive driven path formed by the combination of innovation driven, structure driven and environment a driven is a better path for China’s urban green development. Therefore, the green development of Chinese cities requires policy intervention, different cities need to formulate green development plans according to local conditions, and should consider the combination of policies. In the future, Chinese cities need to increase investment in science and technology, guide all entities to develop in the direction of resource conservation and pollution reduction, adjust the industrial structure, promote their development in the direction of cleanliness, increase environmental protection investment, standardize the development of all entities in the direction of environmental protection, and give full play to the synergy of the three major policies to achieve green development.

绿色是中国城市高质量发展的底色。本文通过构建中国城市绿色发展的驱动力与作用机制理论模型，基于2010-2020年中国城市面板数据，模拟了中国城市绿色发展路径。实证结果表明：其一，科技创新形成的驱动力、结构调整形成的行动力以及环境规制形成的推动力，能够推动中国城市实现绿色发展；其二，不同路径对生态环境的压力呈逐步下降趋势，基准情景下的生态环境压力最高，单因素驱动下的生态环境压力或低于双因素驱动情形；其三，由创新驱动、结构驱动与环境驱动相结合形成的综合驱动路径，是中国城市绿色发展的更优路径。因此，中国城市绿色发展需要政策干预，各城市需因地制宜制定绿色发展规划，并应考虑政策组合搭配。未来，中国城市需加大科技投入，引导各类主体朝着资源节约与污染减排的方向发展，调整产业结构以推动其向清洁化方向转型，加大环保投入以规范各类主体的环保发展方向，并充分发挥三大政策的协同效应，最终实现绿色发展。