Projected changes in precipitation and temperature over the Murray Darling Basin estimated from large ensembles

This repository contains the supporting data for Devanand et al. (2026): Partitioning uncertainty in climate projections for the Murray Darling Basin using large ensembles, https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ae4a77. The zip file contains the following data: pattern_scaling: Estimates of changes in precipitation ('pr') and 2-m air temperature ('tas') from future simulations of scenarios ssp245, ssp370, and ssp585 averaged over the northern basin, southern basin and the whole of the Murray Darling Basin (MDB). These are the changes estimated for a global temperture increase of 1.5 degrees (from baseline 1976 to 2005) using the pattern scaling method. timeslice_method: Changes in precipitation ('pr') and 2-m air temperature ('tas') estimated using 30-year timeslices with specified increases in global temperature from the basline (1976 to 2005). The data is estimated from uture simulations of scenarios ssp245, ssp370, and ssp585, and averaged over the northern basin, southern basin and the whole of the Murray Darling Basin (MDB). The subfolders contain data for varying increases in global temperature ranging from 0.75 to 3 degrees (from the 1976-2005 baseline).本仓库包含Devanand等人（2026）的配套研究数据，对应论文为《使用大集合（large ensembles）划分墨累-达令盆地气候预测中的不确定性》，原文链接：https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ae4a77。 该压缩包包含以下数据： pattern_scaling：针对SSP245、SSP370与SSP585情景下的未来模拟结果，估算了墨累-达令盆地（Murray Darling Basin, MDB）北部、南部及全盆地的降水（'pr'）与2米气温（'tas'）的变化量。该变化量以1976年至2005年为基准期，通过模式缩放法（pattern scaling）针对全球升温1.5℃的情景计算得到。 timeslice_method：该方法以1976年至2005年为基准期，通过设定全球升温幅度的30年时段切片（timeslice），估算降水（'pr'）与2米气温（'tas'）的变化量。数据源自SSP245、SSP370与SSP585情景的未来模拟结果，并对墨累-达令盆地北部、南部及全盆地取平均。子文件夹包含以1976-2005为基准期、全球升温幅度介于0.75℃至3℃的对应数据集。