VIC DELWP - Victoria in Future 2016 - ERP by 5-year Age Groups and Sex (LGA) 2011-2031

This dataset is the 2016 release of the Victoria in Future series of data and presents Estimated Residential Population (ERP) data by 5-year age groups and sex for the state of Victoria. The data is presented in 2011 Local Government Area (LGA) boundaries and covers each fifth year for the years 2011 to 2031.\n\nThe Victoria in Future series is a projection of the ERP for LGAs and Victoria in Future Small Areas (VIFSA) for 2011 to 2031. Some data areas are available for individual years and some for every fifth year in the projection period. The first year for each dataset within the series is 2011. Where available, the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) data is used for the years 2012 to 2015.\n\nData are available for Estimated Resident Population (ERP - the official total population), population by age and sex (for single years of age in some cases, otherwise for five-year age groups), households and dwellings (including average household sizes and dwelling occupancy rates).\n\nVictoria in Future 2016 population projections are not predictions of the future, nor are they targets. They analyse changing economic and social structures and other drivers of demographic trends to indicate possible future populations if the present identified demographic and social trends continue. Projections are based exclusively on demographic components at the state and regional level, while local level projections take account of current and future land use, dwelling capacity, and development opportunities in addition to local demographic factors.\n\nFor more information please visit the [DELWP VIF Portal](https://www.planning.vic.gov.au/land-use-and-population-research/victoria-in-future-2016/victoria-in-future-data-tables).\n\nNotes: \n\n * AURIN has spatially enabled the original data.\n\n * These detailed projections replace the projections published in Victoria in Future 2015 (based on the 2011 Census) issued by the Department of Transport, Planning and Local Infrastructure (DTPLI).\n\n * The base year for the calculation of VIF2016 projections is 2015 (as at 30 June), the most recent year for which the ABS has published the Estimated Resident Population (ERP) for both Victoria and for LGAs.\n\n * The data tables have been condensed to one dataset to allow longitudinal analysis of the data through year-period filters.\n

本数据集为《维多利亚未来》（Victoria in Future）系列数据2016版，提供维多利亚州按5年年龄组与性别划分的估计居住人口（Estimated Residential Population, ERP）数据。该数据采用2011年地方政府区域（Local Government Area, LGA）边界范围，覆盖2011至2031年间每间隔5年的时点数据。

《维多利亚未来》系列数据为2011至2031年间地方政府区域及维多利亚未来小区域（Victoria in Future Small Areas, VIFSA）的估计居住人口预测数据。部分数据字段提供单年度数据，其余则按预测周期每5年更新一次。本系列各数据集的起始年份均为2011年。对于2012至2015年的数据，若有可用来源，则采用澳大利亚统计局（Australian Bureau of Statistics, ABS）的最新公开数据。

本数据集涵盖以下类别数据：估计居住人口（ERP，即官方总人口统计口径）、分年龄与性别人口（部分场景下按单一年龄组统计，其余情况采用5年年龄组划分）、家庭与住宅数据（含平均家庭规模及住宅入住率）。

《维多利亚未来2016》人口预测并非对未来的断言，亦非预设目标。其通过分析经济与社会结构变迁及人口趋势的其他驱动因素，旨在展示若当前已识别的人口与社会趋势持续发展时，未来可能出现的人口规模。该预测仅基于州及区域层面的人口构成要素开展，而地方层面的预测则除本地人口因素外，还需纳入当前与未来土地利用、住宅承载能力及开发机遇等维度。

如需获取更多详细信息，请访问[DELWP VIF门户](https://www.planning.vic.gov.au/land-use-and-population-research/victoria-in-future-2016/victoria-in-future-data-tables)。

备注：
* AURIN已对原始数据完成空间适配处理。
* 本套详细预测数据替代了由运输、规划与地方基础设施部（Department of Transport, Planning and Local Infrastructure, DTPLI）发布的《维多利亚未来2015》（基于2011年人口普查）中的预测数据。
* VIF2016预测的计算基准年为2015年（截至6月30日），这是澳大利亚统计局（ABS）已公开维多利亚州及各地方政府区域估计居住人口（ERP）数据的最新完整年份。
* 原数据表格已整合为单一数据集，以支持通过年度周期筛选器对数据开展纵向分析。