Townsend Thai Project Household Annual Resurvey, 2003

The project is carried out in Thailand under the direction of Khun Sombat Sakuntasathhien and dedicated staff. The project is administered in the United States at the National Opinion Research Center and the University of Chicago. Survey design and research collaborators include Anna Paulson of Northwestern University, Tae Joeng Lee of Yonse University, and Michael Binford of the University of Florida. Robert M. Townsend is overall project director and principal investigator. The initial purpose of the NICHD-NSF funded project was to evaluate the role of informal institutions such as the family and local networks in helping to support the welfare and well-being of individuals in semi-urban and rural areas of Thailand. Risk, and the potentially adverse and direct consequences of household- and firm-specific shocks is a key part of project. The mediating role of the family and social and economic networks in the mobilization of savings and allocation of cre dit was also deemed essential. These networks are not viewed in isolation but rather are part of the larger village, regional, and national level financial system. Thus the project includes an evaluation of village-level financial institutions, such as Production Credit Groups and rice banks, and national-level financial institutions such as commercial banks and the government agricultural bank, the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC). Indeed, the project has both micro and macro aspects. It seeks to evaluate informal and formal financial institutions and markets and to construct and evaluate macro models of growth, fluctuations, and crisis. The macro models are based on the measured micro- underpinnings. Household Resampling. Every effort is made to resurvey previously interviewed households. In l998 we successfully reinterviewed 95.32% of the l997 target, previously- surveyed population. In l999 we re surveyd 97% of the l997 target. Most of the attrition is to due to the household having moved out of the village, though a handful have refused to be interviewed, and a third cause is death of the head. If in any year we are short of the target 15 households per village, we include random replacements, for the purpose of constructing village average variables, for example.

本项目于泰国境内开展，由坤·颂巴特·沙坤塔萨提恩（Khun Sombat Sakuntasathhien）与专业团队主导执行，项目美方管理机构为全国民意研究中心（National Opinion Research Center）与芝加哥大学（University of Chicago）。本项目的调研设计与研究合作者包括西北大学（Northwestern University）的安娜·保尔森（Anna Paulson）、延世大学（Yonsei University，原文笔误为Yonse）的李泰政（Tae Joeng Lee），以及佛罗里达大学（University of Florida）的迈克尔·宾福德（Michael Binford）。罗伯特·M·汤森（Robert M. Townsend）担任项目总负责人与首席研究员。本项目由美国国立儿童健康与人类发育研究所（NICHD）与美国国家科学基金会（NSF）资助，初始研究目标为评估家庭、地方网络等非正式制度，在助力泰国半城镇与农村地区个体维持福利与福祉方面的作用。家庭与企业特异性冲击带来的风险及其潜在负面直接影响，是本项目的核心研究内容之一；此外，家庭与社会经济网络在储蓄动员与信贷配置中的中介作用，也被视为关键研究环节。上述社会经济网络并非孤立存在，而是更大范围的村庄、区域乃至国家级金融体系的组成部分。因此，本项目同时涵盖对村级金融机构（如生产信贷小组与稻米银行），以及国家级金融机构（如商业银行与政府农业信贷机构——泰国农业和农业合作社银行（Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives, BAAC））的评估。本项目兼具微观与宏观双重研究维度：旨在评估非正式与正式金融机构及市场，并构建与评估围绕增长、波动与危机的宏观模型，此类宏观模型以实测得到的微观基础为核心依据。家庭重访机制：项目尽最大努力对已受访家庭进行回访。1998年，我方成功回访了1997年调研目标人群的95.32%；1999年，回访比例达到1997年目标人群的97%。受访家庭流失的主要原因是迁出本村，少数家庭拒绝继续受访，第三大原因为户主过世。若某一年份某村庄的有效受访家庭数量低于预设目标15户，我方将随机补充新的受访家庭，以保障村庄平均变量等研究数据的构建需求。