Descriptive statistics (n = 6,318).

Over the past decade, the popularity of installing advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) in cars has increased markedly. However, the effectiveness of ADAS is subject to debate, primarily because these systems intervene in drivers’ perceptions and actions and could lead to adaptive behavior. Using complete national data for the installation of three leading safety systems and speeding tickets issued over the course of an entire year, allowed us to pinpoint the impact of these safety systems at a national level. Employing zero-inflated negative binomial regression models, we found that the installation of the three safety systems was associated with higher number of speeding tickets. These findings are in line with the literature that indicates adaptive behavior in the context of risk. However, when we accounted for the proneness to commit other traffic violations, the effect of the safety systems on the prevalence of speeding tickets was evident only for those prone to violations. Further research should be conducted to identify which drivers will be more likely to be affected and under what circumstances and safety system types.近十年来，汽车搭载先进驾驶辅助系统（Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems，ADAS）的普及率显著提升。然而，先进驾驶辅助系统的实际效能仍存在争议，核心原因在于这类系统会干预驾驶员的感知与操作行为，进而可能引发适应性行为变化。本研究依托覆盖全年的国家级完整数据集，涵盖三款主流安全系统的装车信息与全年超速罚单记录，得以精准量化此类安全系统在国家层面的影响效应。本研究采用零膨胀负二项回归模型（zero-inflated negative binomial regression models）进行分析，结果显示，三款安全系统的装车与超速罚单数量呈正相关关系。该结果与现有文献中关于风险场景下适应性行为的研究结论相符。但当我们将驾驶员的其他交通违法倾向纳入考量后发现，仅在存在违法倾向的驾驶员群体中，安全系统对超速罚单发生率的影响才显著显现。未来仍需开展进一步研究，以明确哪些驾驶员更易受安全系统影响，以及具体影响场景与适配的安全系统类型。