Projections of the Aboriginal Populations: Total population with Aboriginal identity by age group and type of residence: Manitoba 2001 to 2017 [Canada] [Excel]

The provide detailed statistical tables for 18 scenarios by single year of the projection period (2001 to 2017). For each of the scenarios, data are available for persons who identify with each of the following three groups: the North American Indian population, the Métis or the Inuit. All three groups were projected separately for each of the ten provinces and three territories. However, the subprovincial and subterritorial level shown for the three groups varies as it depends on the groups' size. For the North American Indians, future numbers were calculated for the urban parts of all census metropolitan areas (CMAs), urban areas outside CMAs, rural areas and reserves. For the Métis, places of residence were grouped into urban parts of CMAs, urban areas outside CMAs and rural areas, which also include reserves. Because of their relatively small size, the Inuit population was projected separately for urban and rural locations only. This information is further broken down by age and sex. The 18 scenarios, as well as scenario-specific assumptions on the future trend in fertility and internal migration, are presented in the table below. In addition to these two components of population growth, all scenarios assumed declining mortality and negligible importance of international migration to the change of the size of three Aboriginal groups. The statistical tables of this CD-ROM are organized into three sections: Aboriginal groups - The projected population by Aboriginal group, type of residence, province/territory and sex for the 18 scenarios by single year from 2001 to 2017; Age and sex - The projected population by Aboriginal group, type of residence, age group and sex for the 18 scenarios by single year from 2001 to 2017; and Province/territory - The projected total Aboriginal population by province/territory, age group, sex and type of residence for the 18 scenarios for 2001 and 2017. The statistical tables are supplementary to the publication Projections of the Aboriginal populations, Canada, provinces and territories: 2001 to 2017 (catalogue no. 91-547).

本数据集为预测周期（2001年至2017年）内的18种情景提供了按单年度划分的详细统计表格。针对每种情景，数据涵盖以下三大族群的身份持有者：北美印第安人（North American Indian）、梅蒂人（Métis）以及因纽特人（Inuit）。上述三大族群均针对加拿大10个省及3个地区分别开展预测。不过，三大族群所展示的省以下及地区以下统计层级存在差异，该差异取决于族群自身的人口规模。针对北美印第安人，统计范围涵盖所有人口普查都会区（Census Metropolitan Areas, CMAs）的城区、都会区以外的城区、农村地区以及保留地的未来人口规模。针对梅蒂人，居住地域被划分为人口普查都会区城区、都会区以外的城区以及农村地区（其中亦包含保留地）。由于因纽特人口规模相对较小，仅针对其城市与农村地域分别开展预测。上述数据还进一步按年龄与性别进行细分。18种情景及其针对生育率与国内迁移未来趋势的情景专属假设均列于下表。除人口增长的这两大驱动因素外，所有情景均假设死亡率呈下降趋势，且国际移民对三大原住民族群的人口规模变化影响可忽略不计。本光盘附带的统计表格分为三个部分：1. 族群维度：按三大原住民族群、居住类型、省/地区以及性别划分的2001年至2017年单年度18种情景下的预测人口数据；2. 年龄与性别维度：按三大原住民族群、居住类型、年龄组以及性别划分的2001年至2017年单年度18种情景下的预测人口数据；3. 省/地区维度：按省/地区、年龄组、性别以及居住类型划分的2001年与2017年18种情景下的原住民总人口预测数据。本统计表格为《加拿大原住民人口预测：各省及地区2001年至2017年》（目录编号91-547）的补充材料。