The influence of economic capacity and the formation of public revenues on human development

Abstract The promotion of human development, related to the improvement of several socioeconomic dimensions, is influenced by public funding and economic circulation. Considering the importance of economic growth to human development, this study aims to identify the structural relations of Brazilian municipalities’ economic profile and capacity, their tax revenue, financial transfers and municipal human development. A binomial logistic regression with panel data was used. The results pointed out the importance of the industrial and agricultural GDP, as well as the volume of intergovernmental transfers as a conditioning factor of municipal human development. On the other hand, the service sector presented a negative influence, although its importance must not be disregarded. This can be explained by the presence of this sector in all Brazilian municipalities, especially the smaller ones, which in most cases have low urban, social and economic infrastructure and, consequently, concentrate low added value to this sector.

摘要 人类发展的推进与多维度社会经济水平提升紧密相关，其进程受到公共财政投入与经济循环的共同影响。鉴于经济增长对人类发展的重要意义，本研究旨在厘清巴西各市政辖区的经济概况、发展能力、税收收入、财政转移支付与市级人类发展水平之间的结构性关联。本研究采用面板数据二元逻辑回归模型开展分析。研究结果显示，工业与农业GDP、政府间转移支付规模均为影响市级人类发展水平的关键制约因素。另一方面，服务业虽具有不可忽视的影响力，却呈现出负向影响效应。该现象可归因于：巴西所有市政辖区均布局有服务业，尤其在小型辖区中更为普遍；此类小型辖区普遍存在城市、社会与经济基础设施薄弱的问题，因此其服务业多集中于低附加值领域。