Baseline probability values and ranges (%) of variables used to construct the Markov model.

*The sensitivity of the case definition or laboratory test is based on the observed influenza outbreak compared to the “gold standard” (see text for details) and corresponds with value used in the Model simulations.#The number of exposed pilgrims on a particular day divided by the total susceptible population. In turn, the susceptible population is the total population excluding all pilgrims previously infected (and so regarded as immune) and those currently infected with influenza.病例定义或实验室检测的敏感性基于以“金标准（gold standard）”为参照的观测流感暴发情况（详见正文），且与模型模拟中所采用的数值一致。 特定单日的暴露朝圣者人数除以易感人群总数。而易感人群指总人口中排除所有既往已感染（因此获得免疫力）的朝圣者以及当前正感染流感的个体后的人群。