Replication package and online appendix for "Not Yet an AI Corridor: Growth, Common Shocks and Spillovers along the Trans-Caspian Route"

Data, code, results and the online appendix for a study of whether artificial intelligencecapability raises economic growth and whether it changes the strength of growth spilloversamong the six economies linked by the Trans-Caspian route (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan,Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Mongolia), 2001-2024. The package holds the analysis panel and the spatial weight matrices, the estimation code,every table and figure the run produced, the full console log of the estimation, thepre-specification memo with its amendments, and an online appendix containing the tablesand figures that the conference page limit kept out of the paper. Source data were retrieved through public APIs on 23 September 2026 and the modelsestimated on 27 September 2026; every number in the paper comes from that single run. Spatial autoregressive panel models are estimated by quasi-maximum likelihood withtime-varying weight matrices, with 95% percentile intervals from a wild bootstrapclustered by country with Webb weights.