Replication Data for: Reexamining the Effect of Unemployment Rate on Voter Turnout

This paper replicates "Economic Discontent as a Mobilizer: Unemployment and Voter Turnout" by Burden and Wichowsky, 2014. Using re-specified regression and multinomial logit models, we do not find that increases in the state unemployment rate are associated with increases in votes for Democrats. We also present more intuitive results from the logit models using predicted probabilities.

本文复刻了Burden与Wichowsky于2014年发表的《作为动员因素的经济不满：失业率与选民投票率》（"Economic Discontent as a Mobilizer: Unemployment and Voter Turnout"）一文。本研究采用重新设定的回归模型与多项logit（multinomial logit）模型开展分析，未发现州失业率上升与民主党得票增加存在关联。此外，我们还基于预测概率的logit模型呈现了更具直观性的研究结果。