Climate Vulnerability Assessment: Wheat Stripe Rust

The **Climate Vulnerability Assessment** was designed to provide an overview of the impact of future climate change on all stages of production for the commodities and biosecurity risks assessed. The project used multicriteria analysis (MCA) models to produce assessments for the commodities and biosecurity risks in a consistent and comparable way, and a framework was developed to provide a rigorous, flexible and transparent process for assessing vulnerabilities and opportunities to climate change. Details of the approach and the climate data used in the assessments can be found in the [Methodology Report](https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/dpi/climate/climate-vulnerability-assessment/publications-and-reports) which also details model exclusions and assumptions.\r\n\r\nAssessments were undertaken on commodities grouped into 6 nodes: *Horticulture and Viticulture*, *Broadacre Cropping*, *Forestry*, *Extensive Livestock*, *Marine Fisheries*, as well as for a set of biosecurity risks related to these primary industry sectors. The [Summary Report](https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/dpi/climate/climate-vulnerability-assessment/publications-and-reports) gives details of the chosen commodities and biosecurity risks and summarises the high-level results.\r\n\r\nResults Reports for each commodity and biosecurity risk are being released. Visit the [project's web pages](https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/dpi/climate/climate-vulnerability-assessment) to access these reports and for further information.\r\n\r\nThis dataset contains maps of modelled climate suitability for the **wheat stripe rust** model in the Biosecurity Risks node of the DPIRD Climate Vulnerability Assessment. Maps are provided (in GeoTIFF format) for each element of the model: the climate suitability for each month, climate suitability maps for each phenophase and also for each phenophase/climate variable combination in the model. Data is provided for each of the eight global climate models (GCMs) used in the project, as well as the climate suitability derived from historical observations, along with the ensemble median for each map.

**气候脆弱性评估（Climate Vulnerability Assessment）**旨在全面概述未来气候变化对所评估大宗商品各生产阶段的影响，以及相关生物安全风险。本项目采用多准则分析（multicriteria analysis, MCA）模型，以统一可比的方式完成大宗商品与生物安全风险的评估，并构建了一套严谨、灵活且透明的框架，用于评估气候变化带来的脆弱性与发展机遇。本研究的方法细节与评估中使用的气候数据，可参阅[方法学报告](https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/dpi/climate/climate-vulnerability-assessment/publications-and-reports)，该报告同时详述了模型的排除项与假设前提。

本次评估涵盖划分为6大类的大宗商品：*园艺与葡萄栽培*、*大田作物种植*、*林业*、*粗放畜牧业*、*海洋渔业*，同时覆盖与这些第一产业板块相关的一系列生物安全风险。[概要报告](https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/dpi/climate/climate-vulnerability-assessment/publications-and-reports)详细列出了所选大宗商品与生物安全风险，并总结了核心研究结果。

各大宗商品与生物安全风险的结果报告已陆续发布。请访问[项目官方网页](https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/dpi/climate/climate-vulnerability-assessment)获取此类报告及更多相关信息。

本数据集包含DPIRD气候脆弱性评估生物安全风险板块中**小麦条锈病（wheat stripe rust）**模型的模拟气候适宜性地图。报告以GeoTIFF格式提供模型各要素的对应地图：包括各月气候适宜性图、各物候期气候适宜性图，以及模型中各物候期/气候变量组合对应的气候适宜性图。数据覆盖项目采用的8种全球气候模型（global climate models, GCMs）的每一组结果，同时包含基于历史观测数据推导的气候适宜性数据，以及每张地图的集合中位数结果。