Modeling Behavior during a Pandemic: Using HIV as an Historical Analogy

Many models from epidemiology are not designed to capture tradeoffs between health and economic well-being and few are equipped to predict how these tradeoffs interact with individuals preferences to influence behavior. Policies based on such models may not reflect societal preferences or capture当前多数流行病学模型均未旨在刻画健康与经济福祉之间的权衡取舍，且鲜有模型能够预测这些权衡如何与个体偏好相互作用，进而影响个体行为。基于此类模型制定的政策可能无法反映社会偏好，亦无法捕捉