Replication data for: The Declining Fortunes of the Young since 2000

We document that successive cohorts of college and post-college degree graduates experienced an increase in the probability of obtaining cognitive jobs both at the start of their careers and with time in the labor market in the 1990s. However, this pattern reversed for cohorts entering after 2000; profiles of the proportion of a cohort in cognitive occupations since school completion fall and become flatter with successive cohorts. Since cohort-wage profiles display a similar pattern, these findings appear to fit with a strong increase in demand for cognitive tasks in the 1990s followed by a decline in the 2000s.

本研究记录表明：20世纪90年代，本科及以上学历毕业生的各届同期群（cohort）在职业生涯起步阶段与劳动力市场从业过程中，获得认知类岗位（cognitive jobs）的概率均有所提升。但2000年后进入劳动力市场的同期群则呈现出相反趋势：随着逐届同期群的更迭，毕业生自毕业起在认知类职业中的占比轨迹逐渐走低且趋于平缓。鉴于同期群薪资轨迹也呈现出类似特征，上述发现与20世纪90年代认知任务（cognitive tasks）需求大幅增长、2000年代需求回落的趋势高度契合。