Replication Data for: Unconditional Support for Trump's Resistance Prior to Election Day

Using survey data collected less than two weeks prior to the 2020 Presidential Election, we investigate why likely Trump voters would support Trump resisting the results of the election if he lost. We first do this using an experiment with randomized hypothetical popular vote margins to test if support for resistance is contingent upon the results of the election itself. We also directly ask respondents who said they would support resistance to explain their reasoning in an open-ended response. In doing so, we gain insight into one of the most turbulent elections in American history and examine how support for resistance existed prior to the election itself due to both misinformation about voter fraud and hyper-partisanship which made Trump voters view the electoral process itself as illegitimate.

本研究依托2020年美国总统大选前两周内采集的调研数据，探究若特朗普在大选中失利，其潜在支持者为何会支持特朗普抵制选举结果。首先，本研究通过设置随机化假设普选得票差距的实验，验证抵制选举结果的支持度是否取决于选举实际结果本身。此外，我们还直接向表示会支持抵制行为的受访者提出开放式问题，要求其阐释自身的支持理由。通过上述研究设计，我们得以深入剖析美国历史上最具动荡性的大选之一，并探究为何早在大选正式举行前，受选民欺诈相关虚假信息与极端党派对立的双重影响，特朗普支持者便已认定选举进程本身不具备合法性，进而产生抵制选举结果的支持倾向。