Calibration Data For Choice Prediction Competition 2018 (Cpc18)
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These are the complete raw data for the Calibration Set of a choice prediction competition for decisions under risk, under ambiguity, and from experience (titled CPC18), organized by the authors and their colleagues. The data includes 510,750 consequential choices of human decision makers choosing between two risky and/or uncertain prospects with up to 10 possible outcomes each. Part of these data (published herein at: https://zenodo.org/record/321652#.WZlniSgjE2z) were previously used in CPC15 (a previous choice prediction competition), and are described in the paper: Erev, I., Ert, E., Plonsky, O., Cohen, D., & Cohen, O. (2017). From anomalies to forecasts: Toward a descriptive model of decision under risk, under ambiguity, and from experience. <em>Psychological Review,</em> 124(4), 369-409.<em> </em>DOI: 10.1037/rev0000062 More details about the new competition (CPC18) can be found at https://cpc18.wordpress.com/ Keywords: Choice between gambles; Decision making; Prospect theory; Decisions from experience; Description-experience gap Decisions under uncertainty
本数据集为作者及其合作者共同组织的风险决策、模糊决策与经验决策选择预测竞赛校准集(CPC18)的完整原始数据。该数据集包含510750项实质性人类决策选择:所有选择均为在两个至多各含10种可能结果的风险/不确定前景间进行的抉择。 本数据集的部分数据(已发布于:https://zenodo.org/record/321652#.WZlniSgjE2z)曾被用于此前的选择预测竞赛CPC15,并在如下论文中得到详细阐述:Erev, I.、Ert, E.、Plonsky, O.、Cohen, D.与Cohen, O.(2017)。从反常现象到预测:构建风险、模糊性与经验决策的描述性模型。《心理学评论》,124(4),369-409。DOI: 10.1037/rev0000062 关于本次竞赛(CPC18)的更多详情可访问:https://cpc18.wordpress.com/ 关键词:赌局间选择;决策制定;前景理论(Prospect Theory);经验决策;描述-经验鸿沟;不确定性决策



