Corona Shock, Food and Agriculture: Emerging Food System Risks and Future Prospects

Since the impacts of COVID-19 extend to all aspects of the Japanese food systems, it is necessary to organize the viewpoints in their examination. We introduce the basic disease classification and the concepst of Triple R by the Institute for Global Environmental Strategies. A comparison with the Great East Japan Earthquake is conducted first. After pointing out the vulnerability of the Japanese food system, the trends of entire food industries are reviewed based on the data from two previous censuses by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. Although there are clear behavior changes that occurred after COVID-19, there are several structural changes that had already occurred before the pandemic, and Corona shock is likely to accelerate these changes.

鉴于新型冠状病毒肺炎（COVID-19）的影响已波及日本食品体系的各个层面，对相关研究中的观点进行系统性梳理实属必要。本研究将介绍全球环境战略研究所（Institute for Global Environmental Strategies）提出的基础疾病分类法与“三重R”（Triple R）概念。首先将本次疫情与东日本大地震（Great East Japan Earthquake）展开对比分析。在点明日本食品体系的脆弱性后，本研究将依托日本总务省（Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications）过往两次普查所获数据，对全食品产业的发展趋势进行梳理回顾。尽管新冠疫情后出现了明确的公众行为转变，但诸多结构性变革早在疫情大流行前就已悄然启动，而“新冠冲击”（Corona shock）或有望进一步加速这些变革的进程。