Wheat and climate data

The purpose of the study was to determine the effect of climate change on wheat yield in Porsuk Creek watershed. Wheat yield analyses was carried out with the help of WOFOST model using the past (2016-2017) and future (2020-2100) climate data produced according to the optimistic (RCP4.5) and pessimistic (RCP8.5) scenarios of HadGEM2-ES global climate model in Porsuk Creek watershed. . As a result of this study, important datas on crop yield estimation have been produced for use by decision makers. In this way; planning of wheat farming will be made.

本研究旨在探究气候变化对波尔苏克河流域小麦产量的影响。研究借助WOFOST模型（WOFOST），利用该流域的历史（2016-2017年）与未来（2020-2100年）气候数据开展小麦产量分析；其中未来气候数据基于HadGEM2-ES全球气候模型（HadGEM2-ES）的乐观（RCP4.5，Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5）与悲观（RCP8.5，Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5）情景生成。本研究产出了可供决策者使用的作物产量估算重要数据，借此可开展小麦种植规划工作。