tgco2

The positive impact of tourism on the economy of countries and their increasing commitment to this practice has led to numerous studies in the literature, from the emergence of the TLGH at the beginning of the century to the present day. However, destinations are no strangers to the negative externalities generated by tourism. These negative externalities respond to a harmful impact on the environment, which, together with the increasing concern of governments for the environment, has also aroused the interest of the research field. Therefore, this study, using a technique that is not widely used, focuses on the analysis of tourism, economic growth and the environment in those countries that have been part of the top 10 tourism countries during the period 1995-2023. The analysis reveals a variety of causality results. Finally, policy recommendations for improvement are made on the basis of these results

旅游业对各国经济的积极影响，以及各国对该产业投入力度的不断加大，使得学界自本世纪初旅游导向型增长假说（TLGH）提出以来，已涌现出大量相关研究。然而，旅游目的地早已无法回避旅游业所产生的负外部性问题：这类负外部性具体体现为对生态环境的有害影响，而伴随各国政府对环境议题关注度的持续提升，该研究方向也引起了学界的广泛兴趣。有鉴于此，本研究采用一种尚未得到广泛应用的分析技术，选取1995-2023年间位列全球旅游十强的国家作为研究样本，对其旅游业发展、经济增长与生态环境之间的关联展开分析。本次分析得出了多组因果关系检验结果。最后，本研究基于上述分析结果提出了相应的优化政策建议。