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Fiscal Stability of High-Debt Nations under Volatile Economic Conditions

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NBER2013-02-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Using a recursive empirical model of the real interest rate, GDP growth, and the primary government deficit in the U.S., I solve for the ergodic distribution of the debt/GDP ratio. If such a distribution exists, the government is satisfying its intertemporal budget constraint. One key finding is

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2013-02-01
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