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Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence

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NBER2005-11-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We explore the macro/finance interface in the context of equity markets. In particular, using half a century of Livingston expected business conditions data we characterize directly the impact of expected business conditions on expected excess stock returns. Expected business conditions consistently

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2005-11-01
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