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Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession

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NBER2020-07-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We study the real-time signals provided by the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Index of Business conditions (ADS) for tracking economic activity at high frequency. We start with exit from the Great Recession, comparing the evolution of real-time vintage beliefs to a "final" late-vintage chronology. We then

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2020-07-01
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