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The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market

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NBER2014-01-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We empirically analyze the pricing of political uncertainty, guided by a theoretical model of government policy choice. To isolate political uncertainty, we exploit its variation around national elections and global summits. We find that political uncertainty is priced in the equity option market as

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2014-01-01
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