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Beliefs About the Economy are Excessively Sensitive to Household-Level Shocks: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data

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NBER2024-07-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We study how peoples beliefs about the economy covary with household-level events, utilizing a unique link between Danish administrative data and a large-scale survey of consumer expectations. We find that compared to actual inflation, peoples inflation forecasts covary much more strongly (and

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2024-07-01
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