Humans live in complex socio-ecological systems where we interact with parasites and pathogens that spend time in abiotic and biotic environmental reservoirs (e.g., water, air, soil, other vertebrate
aViral migration rates amongst state capitals according to BayesTraits.bRoutine traffic amongst states according to estimations of the Public Ministry of Tourism for the year 2007 [41]. RS: Rio Grande
Calibration (p-value of the Anderson-Darling test of uniformity) of deterministic and stochastic predictive model variants starting either at the last data point or one week before, with varying (acco
