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The Index of Leading Indicators: "Measurement without Theory," Twenty-Five Years Later

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NBER1981-09-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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The index of leading economic indicators first developed by the NBER remains a popular informal forecasting tool in spite of the original criticism that its use represents "measurement without theory. " This paper seeks to evaluate the performance of the index in comparison to alternative time

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1981-09-01
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