An Empirical Evaluation of Some Long-Horizon Macroeconomic Forecasts
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w34904
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We use long-run annual cross-country data for 10 macroeconomic variables to evaluate the long-horizon forecast distributions of six forecasting models. The variables we use range from ones having little serial correlation to ones having persistence consistent with unit roots. Our forecasting models
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
2026-03-01
